KalshiOpenSportsGrade C · 0%

UNLV wins

Northern Illinois vs UNLV

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

84.5%

84.5¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: −9.5 pts down
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $1.71M
Total volume: $1.65M
Liquidity: $352K
Open interest: 1,083,446
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 84¢ / 85¢
Closes: Nov 2, 21:30 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

01:40 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 87% → 83%
01:42 ET EDT
Large Kalshi YES execution: $5,880 at 98%
01:00 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 83% → 99%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
UNLV winsSports · Kalshi ↗	01:42 ET24 min ago	Yes buy	98.0%	6.0K	$5,880	82.5%	99.0%	+16.5 pts up	Exceptional

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
UNLV winsSports · Kalshi ↗	01:42 ET24 min ago	Yes buy	98.0%	6.0K	$5,880	82.5%	99.0%	+16.5 pts up	Exceptional

Matched on the other venue

Northern Illinois vs. UNLV

PolymarketGrade C · 0%

Compare venues →

Resolution

If UNLV wins the Northern Illinois vs UNLV college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs

Related markets

Northern Illinois wins1.0% · $6.48M 24h
Boise St. wins92.5% · $6.31M 24h
Texas St. wins7.5% · $5.27M 24h
Oregon St. wins1.5% · $4.00M 24h
Fresno St. wins98.5% · $3.99M 24h
Oregon St. wins by over 6.5 points1.5% · $1.20M 24h
Real Madrid wins81.5% · $584K 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.