KalshiOpenSports

Oregon St. wins

Oregon St. vs Fresno St.

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

1.0%

1.0¢ per contract

1 hour: −26.5 pts down
24 hours: −68.0 pts down
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $4.00M
Total volume: $1.89M
Liquidity: $1,749
Open interest: 2,758,140
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 2, 22:00 ET
Status: open

Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

1.0¢24K

2.0¢50K

3.0¢35K

4.0¢9.0K

5.0¢767.9

6.0¢16K

7.0¢34K

8.0¢4.3K

Buy NO (asks)

No resting size

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

00:35 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 43% → 28%
01:15 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 30% → 5%
01:25 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 5% → 12%
01:36 ET EDT
Large Kalshi NO execution: $5,529 at 98%
01:00 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 12% → 1%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Oregon St. winsSports · Kalshi ↗	01:36 ET28 min ago	No sell	98.0%	5.6K	$5,529	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Oregon St. wins the Oregon St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs

Related markets

Fresno St. wins98.5% · $3.99M 24h
Northern Illinois wins1.0% · $6.48M 24h
Boise St. wins68.5% · $4.93M 24h
Texas St. wins31.5% · $4.15M 24h
UNLV wins99.0% · $1.71M 24h
Oregon St. wins by over 6.5 points1.5% · $1.20M 24h
Real Madrid wins81.5% · $584K 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.