KalshiOpenSports
Fresno St. wins
Oregon St. vs Fresno St.
Kalshi prices Fresno St. wins at 99.0%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
99.0%
99.0¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- +14.5 pts up
- 24 hours
- +67.0 pts up
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $3.99M
- Total volume
- $2.31M
- Liquidity
- $120K
- Open interest
- 2,642,993
- Spread
- —
- Best bid / ask
- —
- Closes
- Nov 2, 22:00 ET
- Status
- open
Hourly volume
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
No resting size
Buy NO (asks)
1.0¢361.6
2.0¢21K
3.0¢2
4.0¢467
5.0¢8
6.0¢29K
7.0¢32K
8.0¢4.0K
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Kalshi moves 65% → 61%
- Large Kalshi YES execution: $6,000 at 60%
- Kalshi moves 61% → 96%
- Kalshi moves 96% → 89%
- Large Kalshi YES execution: $5,165 at 97%
- Large Kalshi YES execution: $12,250 at 98%
- Kalshi moves 89% → 99%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fresno St. winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 01:36 ET31 min ago | Yes buy | 98.0% | 13K | $12,250 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Fresno St. winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 01:30 ET36 min ago | Yes buy | 97.0% | 5.3K | $5,165 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Fresno St. winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 00:30 ET2 h ago | Yes buy | 60.0% | 10K | $6,000 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.