KalshiOpenSportsGrade C · 0%

Northern Illinois wins

Northern Illinois vs UNLV

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

14.5%

14.5¢ per contract

1 hour: −1.0 pts down
24 hours: +6.5 pts up
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $6.48M
Total volume: $3.83M
Liquidity: $4,577
Open interest: 4,175,573
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 14¢ / 15¢
Closes: Nov 2, 21:30 ET
Status: open

Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

00:30 ET EDT
Large Kalshi NO execution: $14,400 at 96%
00:30 ET EDT
Large Kalshi NO execution: $5,519 at 96%
00:31 ET EDT
Large Kalshi NO execution: $5,715 at 97%
00:31 ET EDT
Large Kalshi NO execution: $5,221 at 97%
01:15 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 20% → 12%
01:25 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 14% → 10%
01:30 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 10% → 14%
01:00 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 14% → 1%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Northern Illinois winsSports · Kalshi ↗	00:31 ET2 h ago	No sell	97.0%	5.4K	$5,221	—	—	—	Normal
Northern Illinois winsSports · Kalshi ↗	00:31 ET2 h ago	No sell	97.0%	5.9K	$5,715	3.5%	8.5%	+5.0 pts up	Exceptional
Northern Illinois winsSports · Kalshi ↗	00:30 ET2 h ago	No sell	96.0%	5.7K	$5,519	3.5%	8.5%	+5.0 pts up	Exceptional
Northern Illinois winsSports · Kalshi ↗	00:30 ET2 h ago	No sell	96.0%	15K	$14,400	3.5%	8.5%	+5.0 pts up	Exceptional

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Northern Illinois winsSports · Kalshi ↗	00:30 ET2 h ago	No sell	96.0%	15K	$14,400	3.5%	8.5%	+5.0 pts up	Exceptional
Northern Illinois winsSports · Kalshi ↗	00:31 ET2 h ago	No sell	97.0%	5.9K	$5,715	3.5%	8.5%	+5.0 pts up	Exceptional
Northern Illinois winsSports · Kalshi ↗	00:30 ET2 h ago	No sell	96.0%	5.7K	$5,519	3.5%	8.5%	+5.0 pts up	Exceptional

Matched on the other venue

Northern Illinois wins

PolymarketGrade C · 0%

Compare venues →

Resolution

If Northern Illinois wins the Northern Illinois vs UNLV college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs

Related markets

UNLV wins99.0% · $1.71M 24h
Boise St. wins92.5% · $6.31M 24h
Texas St. wins7.5% · $5.27M 24h
Oregon St. wins1.5% · $4.00M 24h
Fresno St. wins98.5% · $3.99M 24h
Oregon St. wins by over 6.5 points1.5% · $1.20M 24h
Real Madrid wins81.5% · $584K 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.