KalshiOpenSports

Texas St. wins

Texas St. vs Boise St.

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

31.5%

31.5¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: +10.5 pts up
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $4.15M
Total volume: $3.27M
Liquidity: $50,095
Open interest: 2,473,510
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 31¢ / 32¢
Closes: Nov 2, 21:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

9.0¢106K

10.0¢143K

11.0¢8.3K

12.0¢825

13.0¢2.5K

14.0¢23K

15.0¢245.2

16.0¢4.1K

Buy NO (asks)

93.0¢101K

94.0¢87K

95.0¢11K

96.0¢5.2K

97.0¢77K

98.0¢202K

99.0¢30K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

01:20 ET EDT
Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,155 at 85%
01:45 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 69% → 42%
01:50 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 42% → 60%
01:00 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 60% → 32%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Texas St. winsSports · Kalshi ↗	01:20 ET45 min ago	Yes buy	85.0%	2.5K	$2,155	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Texas St. wins the Texas St. vs Boise St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs

Related markets

Boise St. wins68.5% · $4.93M 24h
Northern Illinois wins1.0% · $6.48M 24h
Oregon St. wins1.5% · $4.00M 24h
Fresno St. wins98.5% · $3.99M 24h
UNLV wins99.0% · $1.71M 24h
Oregon St. wins by over 6.5 points1.5% · $1.20M 24h
Real Madrid wins81.5% · $584K 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.