PolymarketOpenPoliticsGrade C · 73%
Trump out as President before 2027?
Polymarket prices Trump out as President before 2027? at 3.5%.
View on Polymarket ↗Implied probability
3.5%
3.5¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- +0.6 pts up
- 24 hours
- +0.6 pts up
- 7 days
- −0.8 pts down
Polymarket
No history available for this range yet.
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $57,273
- Total volume
- $13.57M
- Liquidity
- $245K
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.1¢
- Best bid / ask
- 4¢ / 4¢
- Closes
- Dec 31, 23:59 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
3.7¢1.1K
3.8¢50
3.9¢764.2
4.0¢693.9
4.1¢3.0K
4.2¢500
4.3¢500
4.4¢3.3K
Buy NO (asks)
96.4¢203.9
96.5¢7.9K
96.6¢5.2K
96.7¢5.0K
96.8¢5.9K
96.9¢5.7K
97.0¢26K
97.1¢4.6K
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $2,091 at 97%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $5,028 at 97%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $7,178 at 97%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?Politics · Polymarket ↗ | 07:57 ET41 min ago | No sell | 96.6% | 7.4K | $7,178 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Politics · Polymarket ↗ | 02:22 ET6 h ago | No buy | 96.9% | 5.2K | $5,028 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Politics · Polymarket ↗ | 09:37 ET23 h ago | No sell | 96.9% | 2.2K | $2,091 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Politics · Polymarket ↗ | 06:01 ET1 d ago | No sell | 96.9% | 2.7K | $2,632 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Politics · Polymarket ↗ | 04:04 ET1 d ago | No buy | 96.6% | 5.3K | $5,166 | 3.5% | 3.4% | −0.2 pts down | Elevated |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Politics · Polymarket ↗ | 20:02 ET2 d ago | No buy | 96.1% | 2.0K | $1,922 | 4.0% | 3.8% | −0.2 pts down | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027?Politics · Polymarket ↗ | 04:04 ET1 d ago | No buy | 96.6% | 5.3K | $5,166 | 3.5% | 3.4% | −0.2 pts down | Elevated |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Politics · Polymarket ↗ | 20:02 ET2 d ago | No buy | 96.1% | 2.0K | $1,922 | 4.0% | 3.8% | −0.2 pts down | Normal |