PolymarketOpenPoliticsGrade C · 63%
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Polymarket prices Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? at 27.5%.
View on Polymarket ↗Implied probability
27.5%
27.5¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- −1.0 pts down
- 7 days
- −8.0 pts down
Polymarket
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $1.52M
- Total volume
- $6.59M
- Liquidity
- $3.17M
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 27¢ / 28¢
- Closes
- Nov 3, 23:59 ET
- Status
- open
Hourly volume
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
28.0¢229K
29.0¢1.5M
30.0¢966K
31.0¢2.0M
32.0¢69K
33.0¢528K
34.0¢21K
35.0¢5.0K
Buy NO (asks)
73.0¢108K
74.0¢599K
75.0¢101K
76.0¢27K
77.0¢7.1K
78.0¢13K
79.0¢12K
80.0¢1.3K
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $22,891 at 72%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $36,506 at 72%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $33,553 at 72%
- Large Polymarket NO execution: $21,175 at 72%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest