KalshiOpenPoliticsGrade B · 95%
Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi prices Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? at 2.1%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
2.1%
2.1¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- −0.1 pts down
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $1,447
- Total volume
- $4.96M
- Liquidity
- $621
- Open interest
- 3,775,772
- Spread
- 0.1¢
- Best bid / ask
- 2¢ / 2¢
- Closes
- Nov 7, 10:00 ET
- Status
- open
Hourly volume
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
2.2¢1
2.3¢59K
2.4¢36K
2.5¢60K
2.6¢40K
2.7¢115K
2.8¢2.0K
2.9¢1
Buy NO (asks)
97.9¢8.3K
98.0¢0.2
98.1¢593.5
98.2¢1.2K
98.3¢12K
98.4¢3.3K
98.5¢10K
98.6¢50
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $5,550 at 98%
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $4,163 at 98%
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $6,244 at 98%
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $2,042 at 98%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:35 ET4 h ago | No sell | 97.9% | 2.1K | $2,042 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:30 ET4 h ago | No sell | 97.9% | 6.4K | $6,244 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
| Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:29 ET4 h ago | No sell | 97.9% | 4.3K | $4,163 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
| Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:29 ET4 h ago | No sell | 97.9% | 5.7K | $5,550 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:30 ET4 h ago | No sell | 97.9% | 6.4K | $6,244 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
| Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:29 ET4 h ago | No sell | 97.9% | 4.3K | $4,163 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |
| Will Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:29 ET4 h ago | No sell | 97.9% | 5.7K | $5,550 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |