KalshiOpenPoliticsGrade B · 95%
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi prices Will Gretchen Whitmer be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? at 1.0%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
1.0%
1.0¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- +0.1 pts up
- 24 hours
- +0.4 pts up
- 7 days
- +0.3 pts up
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $245K
- Total volume
- $4.58M
- Liquidity
- $429
- Open interest
- 3,671,766
- Spread
- 0.4¢
- Best bid / ask
- 1¢ / 1¢
- Closes
- Nov 7, 10:00 ET
- Status
- open
Hourly volume
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
1.2¢36K
1.3¢20K
1.4¢3.1K
1.5¢67.7
1.6¢30K
1.7¢67.2
1.8¢11
1.9¢25K
Buy NO (asks)
99.2¢171.4
99.3¢199
99.4¢5.9K
99.5¢120K
99.6¢10K
99.7¢41K
99.8¢345K
99.9¢10.2M
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $2,328 at 100%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:33 ET1 d ago | No sell | 99.5% | 100K | $99,500 | 0.9% | 0.4% | −0.5 pts down | Elevated |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:34 ET1 d ago | No sell | 99.6% | 20K | $19,920 | 0.9% | 0.4% | −0.5 pts down | Elevated |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:52 ET1 d ago | No sell | 98.9% | 4.5K | $4,441 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.0 pts unchanged | Normal |