KalshiOpenPoliticsGrade B · 95%
Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi prices Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? at 4.3%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
4.3%
4.3¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- −0.4 pts down
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $48,609
- Total volume
- $5.31M
- Liquidity
- $149
- Open interest
- 4,687,592
- Spread
- 0.4¢
- Best bid / ask
- 4¢ / 5¢
- Closes
- Nov 7, 10:00 ET
- Status
- open
Hourly volume
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
4.5¢1.0K
4.6¢801.4
4.7¢3.1K
4.8¢26K
4.9¢4.6K
5.0¢149.1
5.1¢119.4
5.2¢56.9
Buy NO (asks)
95.9¢379.8
96.0¢2.8K
96.1¢61.5
96.2¢6.4K
96.3¢3.0K
96.5¢267
96.6¢3.5K
96.7¢1.7K
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $8,859 at 96%
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $11,472 at 96%
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $2,856 at 96%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 03:45 ET3 h ago | No sell | 95.9% | 824 | $790 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:36 ET5 h ago | No sell | 95.6% | 704.9 | $674 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:36 ET5 h ago | No sell | 95.6% | 3.0K | $2,856 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:36 ET5 h ago | No sell | 95.6% | 12K | $11,472 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:29 ET5 h ago | No sell | 95.5% | 9.3K | $8,859 | 4.5% | 4.5% | −0.1 pts down | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:29 ET5 h ago | No sell | 95.5% | 9.3K | $8,859 | 4.5% | 4.5% | −0.1 pts down | Normal |