KalshiOpenPoliticsGrade B · 0%
Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi prices Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? at 4.6%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
4.6%
4.6¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $31,273
- Total volume
- $6.18M
- Liquidity
- $7,497
- Open interest
- 4,322,379
- Spread
- 0.2¢
- Best bid / ask
- 5¢ / 5¢
- Closes
- Nov 7, 10:00 ET
- Status
- open
Hourly volume
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
4.7¢158K
4.8¢32.8
4.9¢30K
5.0¢936
5.1¢122K
5.2¢43K
5.3¢20K
5.4¢24K
Buy NO (asks)
95.5¢6.4K
95.6¢303
95.7¢4.5K
95.8¢54K
95.9¢5.7K
96.0¢10K
96.3¢10K
96.4¢6.5K
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $1,430 at 95%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:28 ET3 h ago | No sell | 95.4% | 1.5K | $1,430 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 23:45 ET6 h ago | No sell | 95.5% | 587.7 | $561 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.