KalshiOpenPoliticsGrade B · 95%
Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi prices Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? at 14.5%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
14.5%
14.5¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- −0.5 pts down
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $11,015
- Total volume
- $8.30M
- Liquidity
- $15,119
- Open interest
- 5,204,063
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 14¢ / 15¢
- Closes
- Nov 7, 10:00 ET
- Status
- open
Hourly volume
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
15.0¢115K
16.0¢31K
17.0¢86K
18.0¢34K
19.0¢25K
20.0¢25K
21.0¢12K
22.0¢16K
Buy NO (asks)
86.0¢17K
87.0¢14K
88.0¢29K
89.0¢8.1K
90.0¢17K
90.1¢1.0K
90.2¢3
90.3¢3
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
No timeline events yet
Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 03:44 ET3 h ago | No sell | 86.0% | 781 | $672 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.