KalshiSettledSports

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

Santander vs Real Madrid: Total Goals

View on Kalshi ↗

This market has settled to NO. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.

Implied probability

1.0%

1.0¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $404K
Total volume: $408K
Liquidity: —
Open interest: 170,940
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 1, 12:21 ET
Status: settled

Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

12:00 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $3,977 at 85%
12:02 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $3,888 at 86%
12:02 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $2,882 at 87%
12:06 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $4,490 at 94%
12:35 ET EST
Kalshi moves 31% → 1%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?Sports · Kalshi ↗	12:06 ET2 h ago	No sell	94.0%	4.8K	$4,490	—	—	—	Normal
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?Sports · Kalshi ↗	12:02 ET2 h ago	No sell	87.0%	3.3K	$2,882	—	—	—	Normal
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?Sports · Kalshi ↗	12:02 ET2 h ago	No sell	86.0%	4.5K	$3,888	—	—	—	Normal
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?Sports · Kalshi ↗	12:00 ET2 h ago	No sell	85.0%	4.7K	$3,977	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If over 4.5 goals are scored in the Santander vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.foxsports.com

Related markets

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Detroit wins43.5% · $3.21M 24h
Tennessee wins22.5% · $3.14M 24h
Arizona wins6.5% · $2.77M 24h
Buffalo wins by over 3.5 points?73.5% · $2.46M 24h
Atlanta wins15.5% · $1.96M 24h
Cincinnati wins77.5% · $1.81M 24h
Tampa Bay wins75.5% · $1.48M 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.