KalshiOpenSports

Tennessee wins

Tennessee vs Cincinnati

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

26.5%

26.5¢ per contract

1 hour: −3.0 pts down
24 hours: +5.5 pts up
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $5.10M
Total volume: $2.98M
Liquidity: $1,706
Open interest: 3,581,392
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 26¢ / 27¢
Closes: Nov 3, 13:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

19.0¢4.4K

20.0¢47K

21.0¢47K

22.0¢49K

23.0¢12K

24.0¢10K

25.0¢396.6

26.0¢71.1

Buy NO (asks)

83.0¢400.9

84.0¢125

85.0¢878.6

86.0¢2.2K

87.0¢809.8

88.0¢2.4K

89.0¢3.3K

90.0¢42K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

14:37 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $5,286 at 84%
15:00 ET EST
Kalshi moves 23% → 10%
15:20 ET EST
Kalshi moves 10% → 30%
15:25 ET EST
Kalshi moves 30% → 19%
15:30 ET EST
Kalshi moves 19% → 27%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Tennessee winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:37 ET54 min ago	No sell	84.0%	6.3K	$5,286	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Tennessee wins the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team who wins the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/

Related markets

Cincinnati wins74.5% · $2.70M 24h
Minnesota wins30.5% · $6.47M 24h
Detroit wins69.5% · $5.45M 24h
Buffalo wins97.5% · $4.50M 24h
Arizona wins7.5% · $4.31M 24h
Atlanta wins1.5% · $3.53M 24h
Cleveland wins2.5% · $2.91M 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.