KalshiOpenSports

Minnesota wins

Minnesota vs Detroit

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

29.5%

29.5¢ per contract

1 hour: −17.0 pts down
24 hours: −8.5 pts down
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $6.47M
Total volume: $5.07M
Liquidity: $75,754
Open interest: 4,497,448
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 29¢ / 30¢
Closes: Nov 3, 13:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

31.0¢169K

32.0¢80K

33.0¢65K

34.0¢5.5K

35.0¢4.9K

36.0¢6.4K

37.0¢1.3K

38.0¢70.5

Buy NO (asks)

70.0¢116K

71.0¢144K

72.0¢56K

73.0¢43K

74.0¢1.3K

75.0¢2.1K

76.0¢5.1K

77.0¢924.6

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

14:10 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $11,626 at 49%
14:10 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $6,051 at 50%
15:00 ET EST
Kalshi moves 38% → 52%
15:15 ET EST
Kalshi moves 52% → 27%
15:19 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $6,894 at 34%
15:20 ET EST
Kalshi moves 27% → 35%
15:25 ET EST
Kalshi moves 35% → 30%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Minnesota winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:19 ET9 min ago	Yes buy	34.0%	20K	$6,894	—	—	—	Normal
Minnesota winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:10 ET1 h ago	No sell	50.0%	12K	$6,051	—	—	—	Normal
Minnesota winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:10 ET1 h ago	No sell	49.0%	24K	$11,626	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team who wins the Minnesota vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/

Related markets

Detroit wins70.5% · $5.45M 24h
Tennessee wins18.5% · $5.10M 24h
Arizona wins4.5% · $4.31M 24h
Atlanta wins1.5% · $3.53M 24h
Cleveland wins2.5% · $2.91M 24h
Cincinnati wins81.5% · $2.70M 24h
Buffalo wins by over 3.5 points?95.5% · $2.54M 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.