KalshiOpenSports

Cincinnati wins

Tennessee vs Cincinnati

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

74.5%

74.5¢ per contract

1 hour: −6.0 pts down
24 hours: −11.5 pts down
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $2.70M
Total volume: $2.43M
Liquidity: $38,942
Open interest: 2,185,840
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 74¢ / 75¢
Closes: Nov 3, 13:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

84.0¢215K

85.0¢107K

86.0¢44K

87.0¢16K

88.0¢11K

89.0¢30K

90.0¢4.6K

91.0¢1.5K

Buy NO (asks)

17.0¢17K

18.0¢141K

19.0¢44K

20.0¢23K

21.0¢640

22.0¢1.4K

23.0¢17K

24.0¢14K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

14:22 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $8,428 at 24%
14:24 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $19,750 at 79%
14:24 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $19,716 at 79%
15:00 ET EST
Kalshi moves 78% → 91%
15:19 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $18,277 at 71%
15:20 ET EST
Kalshi moves 91% → 71%
15:25 ET EST
Kalshi moves 71% → 82%
15:30 ET EST
Kalshi moves 82% → 75%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Cincinnati winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:19 ET13 min ago	Yes buy	71.0%	26K	$18,277	—	—	—	Normal
Cincinnati winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:16 ET15 min ago	No sell	24.0%	27K	$6,407	—	—	—	Normal
Cincinnati winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:24 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	79.0%	25K	$19,716	77.5%	80.5%	+3.0 pts up	Exceptional
Cincinnati winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:24 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	79.0%	25K	$19,750	77.5%	80.5%	+3.0 pts up	Exceptional
Cincinnati winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:22 ET1 h ago	No sell	24.0%	35K	$8,428	—	—	—	Normal
Cincinnati winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:19 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	73.0%	9.4K	$6,870	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Cincinnati winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:24 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	79.0%	25K	$19,716	77.5%	80.5%	+3.0 pts up	Exceptional
Cincinnati winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:24 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	79.0%	25K	$19,750	77.5%	80.5%	+3.0 pts up	Exceptional

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Cincinnati wins the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team who wins the Tennessee vs Cincinnati Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/

Related markets

Tennessee wins26.5% · $5.10M 24h
Minnesota wins30.5% · $6.47M 24h
Detroit wins69.5% · $5.45M 24h
Buffalo wins97.5% · $4.50M 24h
Arizona wins7.5% · $4.31M 24h
Atlanta wins1.5% · $3.53M 24h
Cleveland wins2.5% · $2.91M 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.