KalshiOpenSports

PSG wins

Villarreal vs PSG

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

60.5%

60.5¢ per contract

1 hour: 0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours: −1.5 pts down
7 days: −1.0 pts down

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $286K
Total volume: $326K
Liquidity: $78,128
Open interest: 434,947
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 60¢ / 61¢
Closes: Nov 5, 15:00 ET
Status: open

Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

61.0¢107K

62.0¢117K

63.0¢118K

64.0¢56K

65.0¢816

66.0¢6

67.0¢41

69.0¢1

Buy NO (asks)

40.0¢19K

41.0¢30K

42.0¢24K

43.0¢35K

44.0¢113

45.0¢2

46.0¢1

47.0¢1

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

18:36 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $1,985 at 61%
19:05 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,904 at 61%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
PSG winsSports · Kalshi ↗	19:05 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	61.0%	4.8K	$2,904	—	—	—	Normal
PSG winsSports · Kalshi ↗	18:36 ET3 h ago	Yes buy	61.0%	3.3K	$1,985	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If PSG wins the Villarreal vs PSG professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Villarreal vs PSG professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.espn.com/

Related markets

Philadelphia wins61.5% · $8.16M 24h
Washington wins39.5% · $5.94M 24h
Washington wins by over 5.5 points?20.5% · $3.41M 24h
Golden State wins35.5% · $1.14M 24h
Los Angeles L wins61.5% · $1.11M 24h
Dominick Mosejczuk wins11.5% · $550K 24h
Tanner McKee: 1+ touchdowns6.5% · $425K 24h
Saquon Barkley: 2+ touchdowns28.5% · $381K 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.