KalshiOpenSports

Washington wins

Philadelphia vs Washington

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
60.5%
60.5¢ per contract
1 hour
+4.0 pts up
24 hours
−10.5 pts down
7 days
—
Kalshi
Washington wins implied probability. Kalshi moved from 64% to 61%. Times shown in EST.0%20%40%60%80%100%20:35 ET20:52 ET21:10 ET21:27 ET21:45 ET$7,100 YES at 64.0%

Market statistics

24h volume
$8.50M
Total volume
$2.94M
Liquidity
$328K
Open interest
6,557,127
Spread
1.0¢
Best bid / ask
60¢ / 61¢
Closes
Nov 3, 20:20 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
67.0¢158K
68.0¢163K
69.0¢121K
70.0¢14K
71.0¢47K
72.0¢24K
73.0¢5.0K
74.0¢2.7K
Buy NO (asks)
34.0¢232K
35.0¢107K
36.0¢50K
37.0¢59K
38.0¢641
39.0¢190.6
40.0¢4.5K
41.0¢8.2

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
  1. Kalshi moves 56% → 60%
  2. Kalshi moves 60% → 39%
  3. Kalshi moves 39% → 65%
  4. Large Kalshi YES execution: $7,100 at 64%
  5. Kalshi moves 65% → 61%
  6. Large Kalshi NO execution: $9,167 at 40%

Largest recent trades

By notional value
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Washington winsSports · Kalshi ↗21:45 ET4 min agoNo sell40.0%23K$9,167———Normal
Washington winsSports · Kalshi ↗21:43 ET6 min agoYes buy64.0%11K$7,100———Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.