Philadelphia wins
Philadelphia vs Washington
- 1 hour
- —
- 24 hours
- +30.5 pts up
- 7 days
- —
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $9.82M
- Total volume
- $2.34M
- Liquidity
- $780K
- Open interest
- 8,025,284
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 60¢ / 61¢
- Closes
- Nov 3, 20:20 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Why is this moving?
Philadelphia win odds surge to 61.5% on high volume
Weak evidenceThe market price for 'Philadelphia wins' is currently 61.5%.
The probability increased by 31.5 percentage points over the last 24 hours, rising from 30.0% to 61.5%.
Trading volume in the past 24 hours reached $8.16 million.
Specific timeline data shows a move from 34% to 44% at 20:45 ET, followed by a jump from 41% to 62% at 21:00 ET.
The significant price increase coincides with substantial trading activity ($8.16M), suggesting strong market conviction or reaction to information driving buyers toward the 'Philadelphia wins' outcome.
The rapid escalation between 20:45 and 21:00 ET indicates a concentrated period of buying pressure that pushed implied probabilities up sharply within minutes.
- The evidence does not specify what news or event triggered the buying pressure during the observed timeframe.
Evidence score 9/100. Ordering in time establishes correlation, not causation. Narrative written by qwen/qwen3.8-flash from a fixed evidence package and validated against it before publication; every figure is computed by ProudGlobeHead Markets.
Event timeline
- Kalshi moves 34% → 44%
- Kalshi moves 41% → 62%
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