KalshiOpenSports

Washington wins by over 5.5 points?

Philadelphia vs Washington: Spread

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
45.5%
45.5¢ per contract
1 hour
0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours
−17.5 pts down
7 days
—
Kalshi
Washington wins by over 5.5 points? implied probability. Kalshi moved from 42% to 46%. Times shown in EST.0%20%40%60%80%100%20:35 ET20:53 ET21:12 ET21:31 ET21:50 ET

Market statistics

24h volume
$3.54M
Total volume
$3.42M
Liquidity
$6,089
Open interest
2,254,774
Spread
1.0¢
Best bid / ask
45¢ / 46¢
Closes
Nov 3, 20:20 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
46.0¢6.0K
47.0¢23K
48.0¢16K
49.0¢7.4K
50.0¢6.0K
51.0¢5.4K
52.0¢8.5K
53.0¢2.7K
Buy NO (asks)
55.0¢23K
56.0¢7.6K
57.0¢3.1K
58.0¢4.9K
59.0¢7.8K
60.0¢6.9K
61.0¢7.3K
62.0¢4.5K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
  1. Large Kalshi NO execution: $9,662 at 50%
  2. Kalshi moves 37% → 20%
  3. Kalshi moves 19% → 43%
  4. Kalshi moves 43% → 35%
  5. Kalshi moves 35% → 46%

Largest recent trades

By notional value
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Washington wins by over 5.5 points?Sports · Kalshi ↗20:05 ET2 h agoNo sell50.0%19K$9,662———Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.