KalshiSettledSports

Aidan Mayo wins

Mayo vs Miyoshi

View on Kalshi ↗

This market has settled to YES. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.

Implied probability

99.0%

99.0¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $447K
Total volume: $447K
Liquidity: —
Open interest: 260,205
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 2, 16:04 ET
Status: settled

Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

15:24 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $5,054 at 83%
15:33 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $15,618 at 94%
15:34 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $4,657 at 96%
15:53 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $4,993 at 98%
16:10 ET EST
Kalshi moves 96% → 99%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Aidan Mayo winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:56 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	98.0%	2.4K	$2,352	—	—	—	Normal
Aidan Mayo winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:53 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	98.0%	5.1K	$4,993	—	—	—	Normal
Aidan Mayo winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:51 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	98.0%	1.8K	$1,733	—	—	—	Normal
Aidan Mayo winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:50 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	96.0%	2.2K	$2,145	—	—	—	Normal
Aidan Mayo winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:39 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	97.0%	4.3K	$4,126	—	—	—	Normal
Aidan Mayo winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:34 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	96.0%	4.9K	$4,657	—	—	—	Normal
Aidan Mayo winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:33 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	94.0%	17K	$15,618	—	96.5%	—	Normal
Aidan Mayo winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:24 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	83.0%	6.1K	$5,054	—	—	—	Normal
Aidan Mayo winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:05 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	57.0%	5.0K	$2,846	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Aidan Mayo wins the Mayo vs Miyoshi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Charlottesville Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Mayo vs Miyoshi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Charlottesville Qualification Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/

Related markets

Ugo Humbert wins77.5% · $1.95M 24h
Chicago wins38.5% · $1.47M 24h
Maximo Zeitune wins7.5% · $1.12M 24h
Botic Van de Zandschulp wins21.5% · $909K 24h
Deportivo De La Coruna wins93.5% · $790K 24h
Everton wins61.5% · $756K 24h
Lucio Ratti wins91.5% · $662K 24h
PSG wins60.5% · $612K 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.