KalshiOpenSports

Botic Van de Zandschulp wins

Humbert vs Van de Zandschulp

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

23.5%

23.5¢ per contract

1 hour: −40.0 pts down
24 hours: −26.5 pts down
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $2.84M
Total volume: $738K
Liquidity: $22,681
Open interest: 1,627,972
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 23¢ / 24¢
Closes: Nov 15, 05:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

28.0¢6.9

29.0¢213.8

30.0¢119.9

31.0¢2.5K

32.0¢3.4K

33.0¢302

34.0¢6.2K

35.0¢42K

Buy NO (asks)

75.0¢1

76.0¢77

77.0¢161

78.0¢21

79.0¢0

80.0¢5

81.0¢3.4K

82.0¢26K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

15:35 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $4,943 at 38%
15:35 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,077 at 38%
16:20 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $3,300 at 66%
17:05 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $2,789 at 79%
17:35 ET EST
Kalshi moves 23% → 18%
17:40 ET EST
Kalshi moves 18% → 21%
17:45 ET EST
Kalshi moves 21% → 14%
17:50 ET EST
Kalshi moves 14% → 24%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Botic Van de Zandschulp winsSports · Kalshi ↗	17:05 ET45 min ago	No sell	79.0%	2.3K	$1,808	—	—	—	Normal
Botic Van de Zandschulp winsSports · Kalshi ↗	17:05 ET45 min ago	No sell	79.0%	3.5K	$2,789	—	—	—	Normal
Botic Van de Zandschulp winsSports · Kalshi ↗	16:20 ET2 h ago	No sell	66.0%	5.0K	$3,300	—	—	—	Normal
Botic Van de Zandschulp winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:35 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	38.0%	2.0K	$760	—	—	—	Normal
Botic Van de Zandschulp winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:35 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	38.0%	2.4K	$923	—	—	—	Normal
Botic Van de Zandschulp winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:35 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	38.0%	5.5K	$2,077	—	—	—	Normal
Botic Van de Zandschulp winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:35 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	38.0%	13K	$4,943	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Botic Van de Zandschulp wins the Humbert vs Van de Zandschulp professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 64 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Humbert vs Van de Zandschulp professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 64 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.