PolymarketOpenPoliticsGrade C · 64%

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

View on Polymarket ↗
Implied probability
2.1%
2.1¢ per contract
1 hour
−0.2 pts down
24 hours
−0.8 pts down
7 days
−1.9 pts down
Polymarket
No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume
$39,135
Total volume
$16.68M
Liquidity
$297K
Open interest
—
Spread
0.1¢
Best bid / ask
2¢ / 2¢
Closes
Dec 31, 23:59 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
2.1¢2.1K
2.2¢1.1K
2.3¢748
2.4¢806
2.5¢1.4K
2.6¢11K
2.7¢5.2K
2.8¢1.8K
Buy NO (asks)
98.0¢19K
98.1¢22K
98.2¢13K
98.3¢25K
98.4¢21K
98.5¢20K
98.6¢15K
98.7¢11K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
  1. Large Polymarket NO execution: $1,174 at 98%

Largest recent trades

By notional value
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics · Polymarket ↗01:38 ET32 min agoNo sell98.0%1.2K$1,174———Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.