KalshiSettledSports

River Plate wins

Boca Juniors vs River Plate

View on Kalshi ↗

This market has settled to NO. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.

Implied probability

1.0%

1.0¢ per contract

1 hour: −1.5 pts down
24 hours: −27.0 pts down
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $957K
Total volume: $961K
Liquidity: —
Open interest: 637,913
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 1, 15:06 ET
Status: settled

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

14:12 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $5,910 at 98%
14:31 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $1,814 at 99%
14:33 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $1,633 at 98%
14:35 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $1,778 at 99%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
River Plate winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:35 ET1 h ago	No sell	99.0%	1.8K	$1,778	—	—	—	Normal
River Plate winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:33 ET1 h ago	No sell	98.0%	1.7K	$1,633	—	—	—	Normal
River Plate winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:33 ET1 h ago	No sell	98.0%	1.7K	$1,633	—	—	—	Normal
River Plate winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:31 ET1 h ago	No sell	99.0%	1.8K	$1,814	—	—	—	Normal
River Plate winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:18 ET1 h ago	No sell	98.0%	1.6K	$1,563	—	—	—	Normal
River Plate winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:15 ET1 h ago	No sell	97.0%	1.6K	$1,536	—	—	—	Normal
River Plate winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:15 ET1 h ago	No sell	97.0%	1.6K	$1,536	—	—	—	Normal
River Plate winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:12 ET2 h ago	No sell	98.0%	6.0K	$5,910	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If River Plate wins the Boca Juniors vs River Plate professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Boca Juniors vs River Plate professional Argentina Primera Division soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.espn.com/

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Arizona wins9.5% · $4.69M 24h
Buffalo wins97.5% · $4.50M 24h
Atlanta wins1.5% · $3.53M 24h
Cleveland wins2.5% · $2.91M 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.