KalshiSettledSports

Miami (FL) wins

Miami (FL) vs North Carolina

View on Kalshi ↗

This market has settled. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.

Implied probability

99.0%

99.0¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $5.02M
Total volume: $1.19M
Liquidity: $86,472
Open interest: 2,876,765
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 1, 19:00 ET
Status: settled

Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

22:15 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 81% → 54%
22:47 ET EDT
Large Kalshi YES execution: $10,376 at 99%
22:47 ET EDT
Large Kalshi YES execution: $6,002 at 99%
22:48 ET EDT
Large Kalshi YES execution: $5,176 at 99%
22:49 ET EDT
Large Kalshi YES execution: $19,171 at 99%
22:50 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 54% → 99%
23:00 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 99% → 90%
00:00 ET EDT
Kalshi moves 90% → 99%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Miami (FL) winsSports · Kalshi ↗	22:49 ET13 h ago	Yes buy	99.0%	19K	$19,171	98.0%	95.5%	−2.5 pts down	Large
Miami (FL) winsSports · Kalshi ↗	22:48 ET13 h ago	Yes buy	99.0%	5.2K	$5,176	—	—	—	Normal
Miami (FL) winsSports · Kalshi ↗	22:47 ET13 h ago	Yes buy	99.0%	6.1K	$6,002	—	—	—	Normal
Miami (FL) winsSports · Kalshi ↗	22:47 ET13 h ago	Yes buy	99.0%	10K	$10,376	98.0%	95.5%	−2.5 pts down	Large
Miami (FL) winsSports · Kalshi ↗	22:11 ET13 h ago	No sell	47.0%	11K	$5,100	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Miami (FL) winsSports · Kalshi ↗	22:49 ET13 h ago	Yes buy	99.0%	19K	$19,171	98.0%	95.5%	−2.5 pts down	Large
Miami (FL) winsSports · Kalshi ↗	22:47 ET13 h ago	Yes buy	99.0%	10K	$10,376	98.0%	95.5%	−2.5 pts down	Large

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Miami (FL) wins the Miami (FL) vs North Carolina college football game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.