KalshiOpenSports

Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdowns

Baltimore vs Buffalo: Touchdowns

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

40.5%

40.5¢ per contract

1 hour: 0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours: +1.5 pts up
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $257K
Total volume: $144K
Liquidity: $19,569
Open interest: 259,457
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 40¢ / 41¢
Closes: Nov 3, 13:00 ET
Status: open

Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

41.0¢41K

42.0¢44K

43.0¢46K

44.0¢26K

45.0¢1.0K

46.0¢308

47.0¢101

48.0¢3.1K

Buy NO (asks)

60.0¢2.4K

61.0¢10K

62.0¢6.1K

63.0¢35K

64.0¢50

65.0¢142

66.0¢450

67.0¢2.0K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

04:10 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $9,800 at 40%
04:16 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $9,800 at 40%
04:16 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $9,800 at 40%
10:14 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $12,300 at 41%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗	10:14 ET34 min ago	Yes buy	41.0%	30K	$12,300	—	—	—	Normal
Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗	04:16 ET7 h ago	Yes buy	40.0%	25K	$9,800	39.5%	39.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal
Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗	04:16 ET7 h ago	Yes buy	40.0%	25K	$9,800	39.5%	39.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal
Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗	04:10 ET7 h ago	Yes buy	40.0%	24K	$9,800	39.5%	39.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal
Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗	04:01 ET7 h ago	Yes buy	40.0%	24K	$9,695	39.5%	40.5%	+1.0 pts up	Large

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗	04:01 ET7 h ago	Yes buy	40.0%	24K	$9,695	39.5%	40.5%	+1.0 pts up	Large
Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗	04:16 ET7 h ago	Yes buy	40.0%	25K	$9,800	39.5%	39.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal
Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗	04:16 ET7 h ago	Yes buy	40.0%	25K	$9,800	39.5%	39.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal
Zay Flowers: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗	04:10 ET7 h ago	Yes buy	40.0%	24K	$9,800	39.5%	39.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Zay Flowers scores at least 1+ touchdowns in the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to Zay Flowers in the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If Zay Flowers is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once Zay Flowers takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. Touchdowns scored on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as a special teams touchdown. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/

Related markets

Zay Flowers: 3+ touchdowns1.5% · $114K 24h
Zay Flowers: 2+ touchdowns8.5% · $80,017 24h
Derrick Henry: 2+ touchdowns25.5% · $41,775 24h
Nick Vannett: 1+ touchdowns3.5% · $30,838 24h
Dawson Knox: 1+ touchdowns14.5% · $18,157 24h
Lamar Jackson: 2+ touchdowns2.5% · $17,823 24h
Derrick Henry: 1+ touchdowns63.5% · $17,776 24h
James Cook III: 2+ touchdowns18.5% · $14,104 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.