KalshiOpenSports
Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals?
Santander vs Real Madrid: Spread
Kalshi prices Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals? at 89.5%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
89.5%
89.5¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- +49.0 pts up
- 24 hours
- +47.5 pts up
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $309K
- Total volume
- $114K
- Liquidity
- $15,763
- Open interest
- 278,179
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 89¢ / 90¢
- Closes
- Nov 3, 10:15 ET
- Status
- open
Hourly volume
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
88.0¢70
89.0¢10K
90.0¢22K
91.0¢1.8K
92.0¢228
93.0¢125.9
94.0¢33
95.0¢126.1
Buy NO (asks)
18.0¢3
19.0¢0.2
20.0¢33
21.0¢38
22.0¢30
23.0¢193.6
24.0¢672
25.0¢2
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Kalshi YES execution: $1,537 at 44%
- Kalshi moves 41% → 59%
- Kalshi moves 56% → 76%
- Kalshi moves 75% → 90%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins by more than 2.5 goals?Sports · Kalshi ↗ | 10:25 ET38 min ago | Yes buy | 44.0% | 3.5K | $1,537 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.