KalshiSettledSports
Karen Khachanov wins
Shapovalov vs Khachanov
Kalshi prices Karen Khachanov wins at 99.0%.
View on Kalshi ↗This market has settled to YES. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.
Implied probability
99.0%
99.0¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- −63.0 pts down
- 24 hours
- −41.5 pts down
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $3.36M
- Total volume
- $3.88M
- Liquidity
- —
- Open interest
- 1,776,211
- Spread
- —
- Best bid / ask
- —
- Closes
- Nov 2, 15:35 ET
- Status
- settled
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Order book unavailable
The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Kalshi YES execution: $11,835 at 82%
- Large Kalshi YES execution: $4,120 at 82%
- Kalshi moves 81% → 86%
- Kalshi moves 86% → 56%
- Kalshi moves 57% → 14%
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $14,455 at 86%
- Large Kalshi YES execution: $8,952 at 59%
- Kalshi moves 14% → 99%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karen Khachanov winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 15:30 ET26 min ago | Yes buy | 59.0% | 15K | $8,952 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Karen Khachanov winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 15:20 ET36 min ago | No sell | 86.0% | 17K | $14,455 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Karen Khachanov winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 14:38 ET1 h ago | Yes buy | 86.0% | 3.0K | $2,580 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Karen Khachanov winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 14:38 ET1 h ago | Yes buy | 85.0% | 3.0K | $2,550 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Karen Khachanov winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 14:38 ET1 h ago | Yes buy | 85.0% | 3.0K | $2,515 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Karen Khachanov winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 14:37 ET1 h ago | Yes buy | 82.0% | 3.6K | $2,963 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Karen Khachanov winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 14:33 ET1 h ago | Yes buy | 87.0% | 2.3K | $2,016 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Karen Khachanov winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 14:27 ET1 h ago | Yes buy | 82.0% | 5.0K | $4,120 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Karen Khachanov winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 14:26 ET1 h ago | Yes buy | 84.0% | 3.5K | $2,926 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Karen Khachanov winsSports · Kalshi ↗ | 14:26 ET1 h ago | Yes buy | 84.0% | 2.6K | $2,213 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.