KalshiSettledSports

Fiorentina wins

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina

View on Kalshi ↗

This market has settled to YES. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.

Implied probability

99.0%

99.0¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: +59.0 pts up
7 days: —

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $1.77M
Total volume: $1.77M
Liquidity: —
Open interest: 681,855
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 2, 14:24 ET
Status: settled

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

14:20 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $18,674 at 94%
14:20 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $13,519 at 94%
14:20 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $4,700 at 94%
14:20 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $4,622 at 94%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Fiorentina winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:20 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	94.0%	4.9K	$4,622	—	—	—	Normal
Fiorentina winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:20 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	94.0%	5.0K	$4,700	—	—	—	Normal
Fiorentina winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:20 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	94.0%	14K	$13,519	—	—	—	Normal
Fiorentina winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:20 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	94.0%	20K	$18,674	90.5%	99.0%	+8.5 pts up	Exceptional

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Fiorentina winsSports · Kalshi ↗	14:20 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	94.0%	20K	$18,674	90.5%	99.0%	+8.5 pts up	Exceptional

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Fiorentina wins the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Sassuolo vs Fiorentina professional Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Lega Serie A. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.espn.com/

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.