KalshiSettledSports

Eero Vasa wins

Martin vs Vasa

View on Kalshi ↗

This market has settled. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.

Implied probability

91.5%

91.5¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $147K
Total volume: $113K
Liquidity: $180K
Open interest: 71,744
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 91¢ / 92¢
Closes: Nov 15, 09:50 ET
Status: settled

Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

13:01 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $3,061 at 91%
13:04 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,418 at 89%
13:10 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,562 at 97%
13:10 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,328 at 97%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Eero Vasa winsSports · Kalshi ↗	13:10 ET3 h ago	Yes buy	97.0%	2.4K	$2,328	—	—	—	Normal
Eero Vasa winsSports · Kalshi ↗	13:10 ET3 h ago	Yes buy	97.0%	2.6K	$2,562	—	—	—	Normal
Eero Vasa winsSports · Kalshi ↗	13:04 ET3 h ago	Yes buy	89.0%	2.7K	$2,418	—	—	—	Normal
Eero Vasa winsSports · Kalshi ↗	13:01 ET3 h ago	Yes buy	91.0%	3.4K	$3,061	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Eero Vasa wins the Martin vs Vasa professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bratislava II Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Martin vs Vasa professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Bratislava II Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/

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Cleveland wins2.5% · $2.91M 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.