PolymarketOpenEconomicsGrade C · 69%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Polymarket prices Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? at 96.8%.
View on Polymarket ↗Implied probability
96.8%
96.8¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- −0.3 pts down
- 24 hours
- −0.1 pts down
- 7 days
- +0.3 pts up
Polymarket
No history available for this range yet.
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $19,702
- Total volume
- $9.34M
- Liquidity
- $314K
- Open interest
- —
- Spread
- 0.1¢
- Best bid / ask
- 97¢ / 97¢
- Closes
- Dec 31, 23:59 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
96.8¢300.1
96.9¢15.5
97.0¢86.3
97.1¢2.1K
97.2¢672
97.4¢85
97.5¢928.3
97.6¢4.5K
Buy NO (asks)
3.3¢12K
3.4¢3.0K
3.5¢500
3.6¢500
3.7¢825
3.8¢4.1K
3.9¢1.6K
4.0¢13K
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $7,738 at 97%
- Large Polymarket YES execution: $3,588 at 97%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economics · Polymarket ↗ | 07:12 ET1 h ago | Yes sell | 96.8% | 3.7K | $3,588 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economics · Polymarket ↗ | 22:21 ET11 h ago | Yes sell | 96.7% | 8.0K | $7,738 | 97.0% | 96.9% | −0.1 pts down | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economics · Polymarket ↗ | 22:21 ET11 h ago | Yes sell | 96.7% | 8.0K | $7,738 | 97.0% | 96.9% | −0.1 pts down | Normal |