PolymarketOpenSports

Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)

Chiefs vs. Broncos

View on Polymarket ↗

Implied probability

70.0%

70.0¢ per contract

1 hour: +12.5 pts up
24 hours: +21.5 pts up
7 days: +24.5 pts up

Polymarket

Market statistics

24h volume: $483K
Total volume: $484K
Liquidity: $77,907
Open interest: —
Spread: 2.0¢
Best bid / ask: 69¢ / 71¢
Closes: Nov 1, 16:25 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

53.0¢93

54.0¢28

55.0¢1.3K

56.0¢160

58.0¢748

59.0¢20

60.0¢5

62.0¢362

Buy NO (asks)

51.0¢11.2

53.0¢13.6

54.0¢11

55.0¢9

59.0¢19.5

62.0¢20

63.0¢68

71.0¢2.7K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

17:37 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $34,452 at 69%
18:55 ET EST
Polymarket moves 61% → 91%
19:05 ET EST
Polymarket moves 91% → 86%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	17:37 ET2 h ago	Chiefs buy	69.0%	50K	$34,452	68.5%	60.0%	−8.5 pts down	Exceptional

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)Sports · Polymarket ↗	17:37 ET2 h ago	Chiefs buy	69.0%	50K	$34,452	68.5%	60.0%	−8.5 pts down	Exceptional

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

In the upcoming NFL football game between Chiefs and Broncos, scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if the Chiefs win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Broncos". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores

Related markets

Chiefs vs. Broncos71.5% · $3.41M 24h
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)67.0% · $104K 24h
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 40.599.9% · $95,663 24h
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 42.599.9% · $80,765 24h
Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)15.0% · $78,078 24h
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)35.5% · $51,055 24h
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 52.533.0% · $45,627 24h
Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 50.552.5% · $42,517 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.