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Chiefs vs. Broncos

View on Polymarket ↗
Implied probability
0.1%
0.1¢ per contract
1 hour
—
24 hours
—
7 days
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Polymarket
Chiefs vs. Broncos implied probability. Polymarket moved from 54% to 0%. Times shown in EST.0%20%40%60%80%100%17:10 ET17:47 ET18:25 ET19:02 ET19:40 ET$5,271 YES at 48.4%$7,931 YES at 73.3%$7,548 YES at 74.0%$7,771 YES at 71.0%$6,261 NO at 42.3%$8,250 NO at 33.0%$20,342 NO at 37.0%$29,000 NO at 58.0%

Market statistics

24h volume
$4.52M
Total volume
$3.11M
Liquidity
$3.71M
Open interest
—
Spread
—
Best bid / ask
—
Closes
Nov 1, 16:25 ET
Status
open
Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
  1. Polymarket moves 65% → 92%
  2. Large Polymarket YES execution: $20,110 at 71%
  3. Polymarket moves 92% → 35%
  4. Large Polymarket NO execution: $57,241 at 73%
  5. Large Polymarket NO execution: $29,000 at 58%
  6. Large Polymarket NO execution: $20,342 at 37%
  7. Polymarket moves 35% → 77%
  8. Polymarket moves 77% → 0%

Largest recent trades

By notional value
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:36 ET19 h agoChiefs buy48.4%11K$5,271———Normal
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:34 ET19 h agoChiefs buy73.3%11K$7,931———Normal
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:34 ET19 h agoChiefs buy74.0%10K$7,548———Normal
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:33 ET19 h agoChiefs buy71.0%11K$7,771———Normal
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:32 ET19 h agoBroncos buy42.3%15K$6,261———Normal
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:32 ET19 h agoBroncos sell33.0%25K$8,250———Normal
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:31 ET19 h agoBroncos buy37.0%55K$20,34265.5%0.1%−65.4 pts downExceptional
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:29 ET19 h agoBroncos sell58.0%50K$29,00034.5%76.5%+42.0 pts upExceptional
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:26 ET19 h agoChiefs buy31.0%33K$10,122———Normal
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:25 ET19 h agoBroncos buy73.0%78K$57,24134.5%76.5%+42.0 pts upExceptional

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:31 ET19 h agoBroncos buy37.0%55K$20,34265.5%0.1%−65.4 pts downExceptional
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:25 ET19 h agoBroncos buy73.0%78K$57,24134.5%76.5%+42.0 pts upExceptional
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:29 ET19 h agoBroncos sell58.0%50K$29,00034.5%76.5%+42.0 pts upExceptional
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗17:21 ET21 h agoBroncos buy46.0%23K$10,78948.5%71.5%+23.0 pts upExceptional
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:06 ET19 h agoChiefs sell79.0%25K$19,75084.5%71.5%−13.0 pts downExceptional
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗19:06 ET19 h agoChiefs sell79.0%21K$16,59084.5%71.5%−13.0 pts downExceptional
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗17:30 ET21 h agoBroncos buy46.0%26K$12,15654.5%66.5%+12.0 pts upExceptional
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗16:27 ET22 h agoBroncos buy49.0%92K$45,11951.5%41.5%−10.0 pts downExceptional
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗16:25 ET22 h agoChiefs buy51.0%44K$22,20450.5%41.5%−9.0 pts downExceptional
Chiefs vs. BroncosSports · Polymarket ↗18:28 ET20 h agoChiefs buy68.0%25K$17,00064.5%73.5%+9.0 pts upExceptional