PolymarketOpenSports

Browns vs. Steelers

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Implied probability

0.4%

0.4¢ per contract

1 hour: −5.0 pts down
24 hours: −35.0 pts down
7 days: −41.5 pts down

Polymarket

Market statistics

24h volume: $1.29M
Total volume: $1.26M
Liquidity: $177K
Open interest: —
Spread: 0.1¢
Best bid / ask: 0¢ / 1¢
Closes: Nov 1, 13:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

0.6¢526

0.7¢3.2K

0.8¢922

0.9¢438.3

1.2¢5.4

1.3¢6.5

1.4¢500

1.6¢405

Buy NO (asks)

99.6¢202.4

99.7¢2.7K

99.8¢1.2K

99.9¢3.7K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

13:36 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $14,239 at 84%
13:41 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $9,194 at 90%
14:35 ET EST
Polymarket moves 14% → 6%
15:04 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $9,544 at 98%
15:15 ET EST
Polymarket moves 7% → 1%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Browns vs. SteelersSports · Polymarket ↗	15:04 ET35 min ago	Steelers buy	98.4%	9.7K	$9,544	—	—	—	Normal
Browns vs. SteelersSports · Polymarket ↗	13:41 ET2 h ago	Steelers buy	90.0%	10K	$9,194	—	—	—	Normal
Browns vs. SteelersSports · Polymarket ↗	13:36 ET2 h ago	Steelers buy	84.1%	17K	$14,239	15.5%	10.5%	−5.0 pts down	Exceptional

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Browns vs. SteelersSports · Polymarket ↗	13:36 ET2 h ago	Steelers buy	84.1%	17K	$14,239	15.5%	10.5%	−5.0 pts down	Exceptional

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

In the upcoming NFL football game between Browns and Steelers, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Browns" if Browns win the game. This market will resolve to "Steelers" if Steelers win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores

Related markets

Spread: Steelers (-3.5)98.5% · $941K 24h
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.589.5% · $151K 24h
Spread: Browns (-3.5)2.8% · $77,894 24h
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)50.0% · $62,326 24h
Spread: Steelers (-10.5)66.0% · $36,703 24h
Spread: Steelers (-9.5)73.0% · $29,501 24h
Spread: Steelers (-13.5)64.5% · $21,905 24h
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 40.582.0% · $20,345 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.