PolymarketOpenSports

Spread: Steelers (-3.5)

Browns vs. Steelers

View on Polymarket ↗

Implied probability

99.5%

99.5¢ per contract

1 hour: +7.5 pts up
24 hours: +39.0 pts up
7 days: +27.0 pts up

Polymarket

Market statistics

24h volume: $942K
Total volume: $1.00M
Liquidity: $62,420
Open interest: —
Spread: 0.7¢
Best bid / ask: 99¢ / 100¢
Closes: Nov 1, 13:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

99.9¢569.7

Buy NO (asks)

0.8¢171

0.9¢19

1.2¢511

1.4¢300

1.6¢300

1.9¢300

2.0¢450

2.4¢50

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

14:25 ET EST
Polymarket moves 80% → 74%
14:50 ET EST
Polymarket moves 74% → 91%
15:15 ET EST
Polymarket moves 90% → 98%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

In the upcoming NFL football game between Browns and Steelers, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Steelers" if the Steelers win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Browns". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores

Related markets

Browns vs. Steelers0.4% · $1.29M 24h
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.589.5% · $151K 24h
Spread: Browns (-3.5)2.8% · $77,894 24h
Spread: Steelers (-14.5)50.0% · $62,326 24h
Spread: Steelers (-10.5)66.0% · $36,703 24h
Spread: Steelers (-9.5)73.0% · $29,501 24h
Spread: Steelers (-13.5)64.5% · $21,905 24h
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 40.582.0% · $20,345 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.