PolymarketOpenSports

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

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Closing soon — trading ends 2 h from now at Nov 2, 12:45 ET. Liquidity often thins out near the close.

Implied probability

45.5%

45.5¢ per contract

1 hour: +2.0 pts up
24 hours: +5.5 pts up
7 days: −4.5 pts down

Polymarket

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $366K
Total volume: $327K
Liquidity: $43,855
Open interest: —
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 45¢ / 46¢
Closes: Nov 2, 12:45 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

07:50 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $4,564 at 67%
08:26 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $4,282 at 71%
08:27 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $4,884 at 73%
08:32 ET EST
Large Polymarket YES execution: $5,263 at 80%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	08:43 ET2 h ago	Natus Vincere sell	99.9%	2.5K	$2,540	—	—	—	Normal
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	08:32 ET2 h ago	Natus Vincere buy	80.0%	6.6K	$5,263	—	—	—	Normal
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	08:30 ET2 h ago	Team Falcons buy	66.4%	3.9K	$2,575	—	—	—	Normal
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	08:27 ET2 h ago	Team Falcons sell	73.0%	6.7K	$4,884	—	—	—	Normal
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	08:27 ET2 h ago	Team Falcons sell	73.4%	4.4K	$3,221	—	—	—	Normal
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	08:26 ET2 h ago	Team Falcons buy	71.4%	6.0K	$4,282	—	—	—	Normal
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	08:15 ET3 h ago	Team Falcons buy	64.5%	6.1K	$3,900	—	—	—	Normal
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	08:12 ET3 h ago	Team Falcons buy	78.1%	4.0K	$3,124	—	—	—	Normal
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	08:00 ET3 h ago	Team Falcons buy	52.5%	7.0K	$3,675	—	—	—	Normal
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	07:56 ET3 h ago	Natus Vincere buy	48.7%	6.6K	$3,229	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	07:29 ET3 h ago	Team Falcons buy	57.0%	36K	$20,600	43.5%	40.5%	−3.0 pts down	Exceptional
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerSports · Polymarket ↗	07:31 ET3 h ago	Team Falcons buy	58.8%	22K	$12,889	43.5%	40.5%	−3.0 pts down	Exceptional

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Map 2 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead i…

Source: https://hltv.org

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.