PolymarketOpenSports

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A

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Closing soon — trading ends 11 h from now at Nov 2, 10:30 ET. Liquidity often thins out near the close.

Implied probability

44.5%

44.5¢ per contract

1 hour: 0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours: 0.0 pts unchanged
7 days: +2.5 pts up

Polymarket

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $132K
Total volume: $143K
Liquidity: $339K
Open interest: —
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 44¢ / 45¢
Closes: Nov 2, 10:30 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

44.0¢186K

45.0¢21K

46.0¢113K

47.0¢49K

48.0¢1.6K

49.0¢2.2K

50.0¢2.9K

51.0¢145

Buy NO (asks)

57.0¢62K

58.0¢57K

59.0¢48K

60.0¢44K

61.0¢2.0K

62.0¢20

63.0¢3.0K

64.0¢20

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

21:19 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $4,913 at 56%
21:37 ET EST
Large Polymarket NO execution: $5,600 at 56%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ASports · Polymarket ↗	21:37 ET2 h ago	Team Falcons buy	56.0%	10K	$5,600	—	—	—	Normal
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group ASports · Polymarket ↗	21:19 ET2 h ago	Team Falcons buy	56.0%	8.8K	$4,913	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 4 match between Natus Vincere and Team Falcons in the IEM Beijing Group A, initially scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Natus Vincere. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 2, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if http…

Source: https://hltv.org

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.