KalshiOpenPolitics

Will the Republican Party win 203-207 seats in the 120th Congress?

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
6.3%
6.3¢ per contract
1 hour
0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours
−1.4 pts down
7 days
—
Kalshi
No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume
$15,914
Total volume
$375K
Liquidity
$608
Open interest
304,622
Spread
0.1¢
Best bid / ask
6¢ / 6¢
Closes
Feb 1, 10:00 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
6.5¢100
6.6¢39
6.7¢3.2K
6.8¢0
6.9¢0
7.0¢2.1K
7.3¢49.7
7.4¢339.6
Buy NO (asks)
93.8¢9.6K
94.0¢2.7K
94.1¢5
94.2¢7
94.3¢6
94.4¢1.4K
94.5¢1.0K
94.6¢39.1

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

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Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.