KalshiOpenPolitics

Will the Republican Party have fewer than 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027?

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
44.5%
44.5¢ per contract
1 hour
0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours
−0.5 pts down
7 days
+8.0 pts up
Kalshi
No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume
$26,964
Total volume
$1.14M
Liquidity
$43,926
Open interest
619,081
Spread
—
Best bid / ask
—
Closes
Feb 1, 10:00 ET
Status
open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
45.0¢95K
46.0¢488.3
47.0¢500
49.0¢0
50.0¢1.2K
51.0¢2.0K
52.0¢2.0K
53.0¢2.0K
Buy NO (asks)
56.0¢7.6K
57.0¢1.3K
58.0¢652.2
59.0¢33.4
60.0¢2.1K
62.0¢181
63.0¢2
65.0¢270

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

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Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

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Most price-impactful trades

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No impact measured yet

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