KalshiOpenPolitics
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
Texas Governor winner?
Kalshi prices Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas at 33.5%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
33.5%
33.5¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- −0.5 pts down
- 7 days
- —
Kalshi
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $472K
- Total volume
- $4.98M
- Liquidity
- $53,153
- Open interest
- 2,894,657
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 33¢ / 34¢
- Closes
- Nov 3, 11:00 ET
- Status
- open
Hourly volume
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
34.0¢106K
35.0¢173K
36.0¢39K
37.0¢28K
38.0¢31K
39.0¢2.1K
40.0¢47K
41.0¢50K
Buy NO (asks)
67.0¢71K
68.0¢311K
69.0¢39K
70.0¢55K
71.0¢20K
72.0¢30K
73.0¢13K
74.0¢65K
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $7,814 at 66%
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $1,980 at 66%
- Large Kalshi NO execution: $2,444 at 67%
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic party win the governorship in TexasPolitics · Kalshi ↗ | 01:42 ET4 h ago | No sell | 67.0% | 3.6K | $2,444 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will the Democratic party win the governorship in TexasPolitics · Kalshi ↗ | 00:56 ET6 h ago | No sell | 66.0% | 3.0K | $1,980 | — | — | — | Normal |
| Will the Democratic party win the governorship in TexasPolitics · Kalshi ↗ | 20:46 ET10 h ago | No sell | 66.0% | 12K | $7,814 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.