KalshiOpenPolitics

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Georgia

Georgia Governor winner?

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

68.5%

68.5¢ per contract

1 hour: 0.0 pts unchanged
24 hours: +3.5 pts up
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $45,501
Total volume: $1.38M
Liquidity: $12,470
Open interest: 716,890
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 68¢ / 69¢
Closes: Nov 3, 11:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

69.0¢6.0K

70.0¢40K

71.0¢988.5

72.0¢515

73.0¢233.2

74.0¢216.6

75.0¢5.9K

76.0¢13K

Buy NO (asks)

32.0¢36K

33.0¢33K

34.0¢25K

35.0¢11K

36.0¢60.7

37.0¢15.7

38.0¢1.4K

39.0¢7.7K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Will the Democratic party win the governorship in GeorgiaPolitics · Kalshi ↗	05:24 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	68.0%	800	$544	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Georgia pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Source: https://sos.ga.gov

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.