KalshiClosedWeather

Will it rain in Houston on Oct 31, 2026?

Where will it rain on Oct 31, 2026?

View on Kalshi ↗
Trading is closed on this market and it is awaiting settlement. Quotes are frozen at their last observed values.
Implied probability
99.0%
99.0¢ per contract
1 hour
+97.5 pts up
24 hours
+59.0 pts up
7 days
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Kalshi
Will it rain in Houston on Oct 31, 2026? implied probability. Kalshi moved from 99% to 99%. Times shown in EST.0%20%40%60%80%100%01:50 ET01:53 ET01:57 ET01:01 ET01:05 ET

Market statistics

24h volume
$82,899
Total volume
$87,057
Liquidity
$11,879
Open interest
36,076
Spread
—
Best bid / ask
—
Closes
Nov 1, 01:00 ET
Status
closed

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
  1. Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,090 at 99%

Largest recent trades

By notional value
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Will it rain in Houston on Oct 31, 2026?Weather · Kalshi ↗01:06 ET60 min agoYes buy99.0%2.1K$2,090———Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.