KalshiOpenPolitics
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-1?
PA-01 House winner?
Kalshi prices Will Democratic win the House race for PA-1? at 54.5%.
View on Kalshi ↗Implied probability
54.5%
54.5¢ per contract
- 1 hour
- 0.0 pts unchanged
- 24 hours
- +1.5 pts up
- 7 days
- +11.0 pts up
Kalshi
No history available for this range yet.
Market statistics
- 24h volume
- $19,666
- Total volume
- $317K
- Liquidity
- $12,547
- Open interest
- 229,626
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Best bid / ask
- 54¢ / 55¢
- Closes
- Nov 3, 11:00 ET
- Status
- open
Order book
Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
55.0¢22K
56.0¢80K
57.0¢417
58.0¢1.2K
59.0¢42.5
60.0¢5.8K
61.0¢28.2
62.0¢60
Buy NO (asks)
46.0¢4.7K
47.0¢1.0K
48.0¢58K
49.0¢22K
50.0¢3.4
51.0¢399
52.0¢5.6K
54.0¢1.4
Why is this moving?
Evidence-grounded explanation
Explanation pending
An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.
Event timeline
Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
No timeline events yet
Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.
Largest recent trades
By notional value
| Market | Time | Side | Price | Size | Notional | Before | +5 min | Move | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democratic win the House race for PA-1?Politics · Kalshi ↗ | 06:35 ET1 d ago | Yes buy | 55.0% | 1.7K | $962 | — | — | — | Normal |
Most price-impactful trades
Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
No impact measured yet
Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.