KalshiOpenSports

Miami wins

New England vs Miami

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

3.0%

3.0¢ per contract

1 hour: −39.5 pts down
24 hours: −21.0 pts down
7 days: −20.5 pts down

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $7.19M
Total volume: $240K
Liquidity: $1,093
Open interest: 4,362,351
Spread: 2.0¢
Best bid / ask: 2¢ / 4¢
Closes: Nov 3, 16:25 ET
Status: open

Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

4.0¢122K

5.0¢105K

6.0¢52K

7.0¢14K

8.0¢5.5K

9.0¢1.4K

10.0¢1.2K

11.0¢8.3K

Buy NO (asks)

97.0¢52K

98.0¢36K

99.0¢21K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

12:44 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $18,610 at 24%
15:13 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $5,934 at 24%
17:25 ET EST
Kalshi moves 30% → 39%
17:35 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $5,000 at 46%
18:05 ET EST
Kalshi moves 38% → 69%
18:55 ET EST
Kalshi moves 69% → 5%
19:10 ET EST
Kalshi moves 7% → 1%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Miami winsSports · Kalshi ↗	17:35 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	46.0%	11K	$5,000	—	—	—	Normal
Miami winsSports · Kalshi ↗	15:13 ET4 h ago	Yes buy	24.0%	25K	$5,934	—	—	—	Normal
Miami winsSports · Kalshi ↗	12:44 ET7 h ago	Yes buy	24.0%	78K	$18,610	23.5%	23.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal
Miami winsSports · Kalshi ↗	11:26 ET8 h ago	Yes buy	24.0%	2.8K	$665	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Miami winsSports · Kalshi ↗	12:44 ET7 h ago	Yes buy	24.0%	78K	$18,610	23.5%	23.5%	0.0 pts unchanged	Normal

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Miami wins the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team who wins the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/

Related markets

New England wins99.0% · $6.89M 24h
Kansas City wins59.5% · $13.34M 24h
Denver wins39.5% · $12.34M 24h
Tatjana Maria wins1.0% · $1.89M 24h
Brooklyn wins69.5% · $1.07M 24h
Kenneth Walker III: 1+ touchdowns2.5% · $712K 24h
Santos Laguna wins40.5% · $421K 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.