KalshiOpenSports

Kansas City wins

Kansas City vs Denver

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

28.5%

28.5¢ per contract

1 hour: −36.0 pts down
24 hours: −24.5 pts down
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $14.21M
Total volume: $9.80M
Liquidity: $60,204
Open interest: 8,492,340
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 28¢ / 29¢
Closes: Nov 3, 16:25 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

32.0¢415K

33.0¢154K

34.0¢104K

35.0¢2.9K

36.0¢6.4K

37.0¢2.0K

38.0¢2.4K

39.0¢8.5K

Buy NO (asks)

69.0¢305K

70.0¢280K

71.0¢35K

72.0¢303K

73.0¢364

74.0¢688

75.0¢431

76.0¢13K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

18:35 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $10,270 at 79%
18:35 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $9,855 at 79%
18:55 ET EST
Kalshi moves 65% → 93%
19:10 ET EST
Kalshi moves 93% → 73%
19:15 ET EST
Kalshi moves 73% → 78%
19:25 ET EST
Kalshi moves 78% → 28%
19:25 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $17,495 at 70%
19:25 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $7,638 at 70%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Kansas City winsSports · Kalshi ↗	19:25 ET1 min ago	No sell	70.0%	11K	$7,638	—	—	—	Normal
Kansas City winsSports · Kalshi ↗	19:25 ET1 min ago	No sell	70.0%	25K	$17,495	—	—	—	Normal
Kansas City winsSports · Kalshi ↗	18:35 ET52 min ago	Yes buy	79.0%	12K	$9,855	—	—	—	Normal
Kansas City winsSports · Kalshi ↗	18:35 ET52 min ago	Yes buy	79.0%	13K	$10,270	—	—	—	Normal
Kansas City winsSports · Kalshi ↗	17:15 ET2 h ago	Yes buy	50.0%	13K	$6,570	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the team who wins the Kansas City vs Denver Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. If the game ends in a tie, the market will resolve to $0.50 for each team. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours from its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.nfl.com/

Related markets

Denver wins72.5% · $13.79M 24h
Miami wins3.0% · $7.19M 24h
New England wins99.0% · $6.89M 24h
Tatjana Maria wins1.0% · $1.89M 24h
Brooklyn wins85.5% · $1.17M 24h
Kenneth Walker III: 1+ touchdowns4.5% · $776K 24h
Santos Laguna wins37.5% · $458K 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.