KalshiOpenSports

Josh Allen: 2+ touchdowns

Baltimore vs Buffalo: Touchdowns

View on Kalshi ↗
Implied probability
15.5%
15.5¢ per contract
1 hour
−21.0 pts down
24 hours
−4.5 pts down
7 days
—
Kalshi
Josh Allen: 2+ touchdowns implied probability. Kalshi moved from 52% to 37%. Times shown in EST.0%20%40%60%80%100%13:15 ET13:31 ET13:47 ET14:03 ET14:20 ET

Market statistics

24h volume
$167K
Total volume
$177K
Liquidity
$106
Open interest
150,462
Spread
1.0¢
Best bid / ask
15¢ / 16¢
Closes
Nov 3, 13:00 ET
Status
open
Hourly volume

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first
Buy YES (asks)
23.0¢10
24.0¢35
25.0¢81.6
26.0¢75
27.0¢625.8
28.0¢10K
34.0¢2
35.0¢10
Buy NO (asks)
83.0¢27
84.0¢19
85.0¢32
86.0¢143
87.0¢126
89.0¢31
90.0¢40
92.0¢46

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
  1. Large Kalshi YES execution: $3,763 at 20%
  2. Large Kalshi YES execution: $3,200 at 20%
  3. Large Kalshi YES execution: $2,278 at 20%

Largest recent trades

By notional value
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Josh Allen: 2+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗13:00 ET3 h agoYes buy20.0%11K$2,278———Normal
Josh Allen: 2+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗13:00 ET3 h agoYes buy20.0%16K$3,200———Normal
Josh Allen: 2+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗13:00 ET3 h agoYes buy20.0%19K$3,763———Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.