KalshiOpenSports

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins

Aguilar Cardozo vs Dellien

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

45.5%

45.5¢ per contract

1 hour: −1.0 pts down
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

Market statistics

24h volume: $188K
Total volume: $125K
Liquidity: $262
Open interest: 50,555
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 45¢ / 46¢
Closes: Nov 15, 11:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

46.0¢359.7

47.0¢2.0K

48.0¢272.6

49.0¢1.2K

50.0¢868

51.0¢3.4K

52.0¢526.1

53.0¢860

Buy NO (asks)

55.0¢97.2

56.0¢101

57.0¢235.7

58.0¢423.8

59.0¢1.2K

60.0¢772.3

61.0¢883

62.0¢1.2K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

03:00 ET EST
Kalshi moves 47% → 44%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

No trades in this window

Nothing has printed above the reporting threshold yet. Trade feeds refresh every five minutes.

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo wins the Aguilar Cardozo vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Guayaquil Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Aguilar Cardozo vs Dellien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Challenger Guayaquil Final after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.atptour.com/

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Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.