KalshiSettledSports

Javonte Williams: 1+ touchdowns

Arizona vs Dallas: Touchdowns

View on Kalshi ↗
This market has settled to NO. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.
Implied probability
1.0%
1.0¢ per contract
1 hour
—
24 hours
—
7 days
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Kalshi
Javonte Williams: 1+ touchdowns implied probability. Kalshi moved from 3% to 1%. Times shown in EST.0%20%40%60%80%100%15:50 ET16:02 ET16:15 ET16:27 ET16:40 ET$4,808 NO at 99.0%$61,781 NO at 99.0%$2,233 NO at 99.0%$2,663 NO at 99.0%

Market statistics

24h volume
$721K
Total volume
$724K
Liquidity
—
Open interest
664,360
Spread
—
Best bid / ask
—
Closes
Nov 1, 16:47 ET
Status
settled

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades
  1. Large Kalshi NO execution: $2,663 at 99%
  2. Large Kalshi NO execution: $2,233 at 99%
  3. Large Kalshi NO execution: $61,781 at 99%
  4. Large Kalshi NO execution: $4,808 at 99%
  5. Kalshi moves 2% → 19%
  6. Kalshi moves 19% → 1%

Largest recent trades

By notional value
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Javonte Williams: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗16:15 ET24 h agoNo sell99.0%4.9K$4,808———Normal
Javonte Williams: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗16:15 ET24 h agoNo sell99.0%62K$61,7812.0%19.0%+17.0 pts upExceptional
Javonte Williams: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗16:15 ET24 h agoNo sell99.0%2.3K$2,233———Normal
Javonte Williams: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗16:15 ET24 h agoNo sell99.0%2.7K$2,663———Normal
Javonte Williams: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗15:41 ET1 d agoNo sell80.0%2.4K$1,910———Normal
Javonte Williams: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗12:55 ET1 d agoNo sell33.0%7.4K$2,452———Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest
MarketTimeSidePriceSizeNotionalBefore+5 minMoveImpact
Javonte Williams: 1+ touchdownsSports · Kalshi ↗16:15 ET24 h agoNo sell99.0%62K$61,7812.0%19.0%+17.0 pts upExceptional