KalshiOpenSports

Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 points

Oregon St. vs Fresno St.: Spread

View on Kalshi ↗

Implied probability

98.5%

98.5¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $84,190
Total volume: $85,711
Liquidity: $3,649
Open interest: 56,398
Spread: 1.0¢
Best bid / ask: 98¢ / 99¢
Closes: Nov 2, 22:00 ET
Status: open

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Buy YES (asks)

No resting size

Buy NO (asks)

1.0¢4.9K

2.0¢2.0K

3.0¢1.3K

4.0¢1.5K

5.0¢9.6K

6.0¢5.3K

7.0¢2.6K

9.0¢24K

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

No timeline events yet

Timeline entries appear once price or trade activity crosses a reporting threshold.

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
Fresno St. wins by over 2.5 pointsSports · Kalshi ↗	00:35 ET1 h ago	Yes buy	64.0%	879	$563	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If Fresno St. wins by more than 2.5 points in the Oregon St. vs Fresno St. college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Source: https://www.espn.com

Related markets

Oregon St. wins by over 6.5 points1.5% · $1.20M 24h
Fresno St. wins by over 5.5 points96.5% · $484K 24h
Oregon St. wins by over 7.5 points1.5% · $315K 24h
Oregon St. wins by over 5.5 points1.5% · $235K 24h
Oregon St. wins by over 3.5 points3.5% · $163K 24h
Oregon St. wins by over 9.5 points1.0% · $144K 24h
Oregon St. wins by over 2.5 points7.5% · $105K 24h
Fresno St. wins by over 14.5 points79.0% · $85,290 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.