KalshiSettledCrypto

BTC price up in next 15 mins?

BTC 15 min · $77,993.29 target

View on Kalshi ↗

This market has settled to YES. Prices below are the final observed values and no longer move.

Implied probability

99.9%

99.9¢ per contract

1 hour: —
24 hours: —
7 days: —

Kalshi

No history available for this range yet.

Market statistics

24h volume: $1.24M
Total volume: $1.24M
Liquidity: —
Open interest: 376,709
Spread: —
Best bid / ask: —
Closes: Nov 1, 05:15 ET
Status: settled

Order book

Executable asks for both outcomes, deepest first

Order book unavailable

The venue did not return resting depth for this contract. Quotes and history above are unaffected.

Why is this moving?

Evidence-grounded explanation

Explanation pending

An evidence-grounded explanation is written once this market gathers enough confirmed price and trade evidence. Every number on this page is already live.

Event timeline

Reconstructed from snapshots and trades

05:05 ET EST
Large Kalshi NO execution: $1,428 at 59%
05:10 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $1,020 at 85%
05:11 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $1,767 at 86%
05:11 ET EST
Large Kalshi YES execution: $1,710 at 87%

Largest recent trades

By notional value

Market	Time	Side	Price	Size	Notional	Before	+5 min	Move	Impact
BTC price up in next 15 mins?Crypto · Kalshi ↗	05:11 ET8 h ago	Yes buy	87.0%	2.0K	$1,710	—	—	—	Normal
BTC price up in next 15 mins?Crypto · Kalshi ↗	05:11 ET8 h ago	Yes buy	87.0%	1.0K	$878	—	—	—	Normal
BTC price up in next 15 mins?Crypto · Kalshi ↗	05:11 ET8 h ago	Yes buy	86.0%	2.1K	$1,767	—	—	—	Normal
BTC price up in next 15 mins?Crypto · Kalshi ↗	05:10 ET8 h ago	Yes buy	85.0%	1.2K	$1,020	—	—	—	Normal
BTC price up in next 15 mins?Crypto · Kalshi ↗	05:05 ET8 h ago	No sell	59.0%	1.0K	$590	—	—	—	Normal
BTC price up in next 15 mins?Crypto · Kalshi ↗	05:05 ET8 h ago	No sell	59.0%	1.0K	$590	—	—	—	Normal
BTC price up in next 15 mins?Crypto · Kalshi ↗	05:05 ET8 h ago	No sell	59.0%	2.4K	$1,428	—	—	—	Normal

Most price-impactful trades

Ranked by realised movement adjusted for liquidity — not the same as the largest

No impact measured yet

Impact is computed once five minutes of post-trade price history exists for a print.

Matched market

No equivalent contract found

No contract on the other venue currently matches this one closely enough to compare. Matching re-runs hourly as new markets list.

Resolution

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:15 AM EST on Nov 1, 2026 is at least the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BRTI before 5:00 AM EST on November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index (RTI). At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected. The official and final value is the average of these prices, rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places.

Source: https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/

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Bitcoin price on Nov 1, 2026?1.5% · $79,331 24h

Implied probability is derived from live quotes and does not include fees. Volume and liquidity are reported as each venue publishes them and are not directly comparable between venues.